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If tables etc. are working we might expect they beat the pinnacle closing line more than 50% of the time. It is, therefore, not advisable to rely on the market odds as a totally accurate benchmark of the event probabilities. Implied probabilities reflect much more the public perception of the likely outcome , being a measure of the volume of money wagered on each outcome rather than its real chances of success.
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Levante are in the relegation zone and are making one of their weakest seasons. The team has the weakest defense, but Bilbao is not a team that scores many goals. It is extremely rare to see Bilbao score more than 1 goal as a guest, but also rarely allow more than 1. In poker, for example, most of your decisions will be taken on the spot, without knowing if you are going to win this hand or not. When it comes to sports, things change a bit, as you can make an extensive analysis before placing a bet, in order to make sure that you are going to win.
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